SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Colombia Under-20s had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Colombia Under-20s win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-20s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia Under-20s | Draw | Italy Under-20s |
29.84% ( -1) | 26.73% ( 0.12) | 43.43% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 50.11% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.36% ( -0.82) | 54.64% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( -0.69) | 75.97% ( 0.69) |
| Colombia Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.78% ( -1.15) | 33.21% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.18% ( -1.29) | 69.82% ( 1.29) |
| Italy Under-20s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( 0.08) | 24.96% ( -0.08) |
