Both teams will be desperate to seal their place in the final, but we think that Portugal may have the extra quality required to claim a narrow victory over Serbia in Sunday's semi-final clash.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a win with a probability of 43%. A win for has a probability of 35.58% and a draw has a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.32%) and 2-3 (4.71%). The likeliest win is 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.32%).