SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Nacional |
50.33% ( 0.19) | 24.96% ( 0.02) | 24.71% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.21% ( -0.26) | 50.79% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.32% ( -0.23) | 72.68% ( 0.23) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( -0.03) | 20.19% ( 0.03) |
