Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Feirense had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Feirense win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
0.24) 
-0.27) 
