SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
32.24% ( 0.01) | 27.06% ( 0.02) | 40.69% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.08% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.86% ( -0.05) | 55.14% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.62% ( -0.04) | 76.38% ( 0.05) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( -0.02) | 31.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.81% ( -0.02) | 68.19% ( 0.03) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( -0.03) | 26.62% ( 0.04) |
