SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 74.45%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 9.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | FC Winterthur |
74.45% ( -0.28) | 15.59% ( 0.11) | 9.95% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.78% ( 0.02) | 35.22% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.76% ( 0.02) | 57.24% ( -0.02) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.96% ( -0.05) | 8.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.71% ( -0.14) | 28.29% ( 0.14) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.72% ( 0.35) | 44.28% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.65% ( 0.28) | 80.35% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 74.44% | 1-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 15.59% | 1-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 9.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Young Boys | 36 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 82 | 30 | 52 | 74 |
| 2 | Servette | 36 | 14 | 16 | 6 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 58 |
| 3 | LuganoLugano | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 57 |
| 4 | Luzern | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 52 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Basel | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
| 6 | St GallenSt Gallen | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 44 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 44 |
| 9 | FC WinterthurWinterthur | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 32 |
| 10 | Sion | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 73 | -32 | 31 |
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