Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
-3.15) 
0.48) 
