Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Sion had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Sion win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
