SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 52.47%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 0-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
52.47% ( 0.28) | 23.71% ( -0.05) | 23.82% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.63% ( 0.01) | 46.37% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.35% ( 0.01) | 68.65% ( -0) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( 0.11) | 17.65% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.74% ( 0.19) | 48.26% ( -0.18) |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% ( -0.19) | 33.63% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.72% ( -0.21) | 70.28% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 52.47% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 23.82% |
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