SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Zurich in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | Luzern |
48.65% ( -0.07) | 23.13% ( -0) | 28.22% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.92% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.97% ( 0.06) | 40.03% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.6% ( 0.06) | 62.39% ( -0.06) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( -0) | 16.7% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.42% ( -0) | 46.58% |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( 0.08) | 26.87% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.81% ( 0.1) | 62.18% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Young Boys | 31 | 18 | 10 | 3 | 75 | 26 | 49 | 64 |
| 2 | LuganoLugano | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 46 |
| 3 | Luzern | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 45 |
| 4 | Servette | 31 | 10 | 15 | 6 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 45 |
| 5 | Basel | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 40 |
| 7 | St GallenSt Gallen | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Zurich | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
| 9 | Sion | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 31 |
| 10 | FC WinterthurWinterthur | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 59 | -30 | 29 |
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