SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
47.74% ( -2.13) | 23.87% ( 0.52) | 28.38% ( 1.6) |
| Both teams to score 58.44% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.65% ( -1.23) | 43.35% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% ( -1.22) | 65.74% ( 1.22) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( -1.29) | 18.32% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.59% ( -2.23) | 49.4% ( 2.23) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( 0.52) | 28.45% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.79% ( 0.66) | 64.21% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.52% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC Zurich | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Young Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | St GallenSt Gallen | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | LuganoLugano | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 15 |
| 5 | Luzern | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Yverdon Sport | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 7 | Servette | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | FC WinterthurWinterthur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Lausanne SportLausanne | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Stade Lausanne-OuchySLO | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Basel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 5 |
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