SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Servette |
34.63% ( -0.28) | 25.38% ( 0.12) | 39.99% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.39% ( -0.58) | 47.61% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.19% ( -0.54) | 69.81% ( 0.54) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( -0.44) | 26.52% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.28% ( -0.59) | 61.72% ( 0.59) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -0.17) | 23.58% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% ( -0.25) | 57.64% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Servette |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.63% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.99% |
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