SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.72%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Samsunspor |
48.72% ( -0.17) | 25% ( -0.01) | 26.28% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( 0.18) | 49.72% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( 0.16) | 71.73% ( -0.16) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.56% ( 0) | 20.43% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.12% ( 0) | 52.88% ( -0) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0.25) | 33.37% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( 0.27) | 70% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Samsunspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.72% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.28% |
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