Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
