Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
