Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Besiktas win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
