SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Galatasaray |
16.37% ( -1.13) | 19.8% ( -0.52) | 63.83% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 55.46% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.64% ( 0.32) | 39.35% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.31% ( 0.34) | 61.69% ( -0.34) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% ( -1.13) | 37.19% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.02% ( -1.13) | 73.98% ( 1.13) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.31% ( 0.55) | 11.69% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.22% ( 1.17) | 36.78% ( -1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.26% Total : 16.37% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.8% | 0-2 @ 10.01% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 7.17% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 7.09% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 3.85% ( 0.27)1-4 @ 3.8% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.15)1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.1)Other @ 4% Total : 63.82% |
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