With just one point and two places between the sides in the Super Lig table, we expect a cagey affair with little goalmouth action on Sunday. Both sides are evenly matched on paper heading into the game and we predict they will settle for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 52.47%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
