SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for NK Domzale had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a NK Domzale win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maribor | Draw | NK Domzale |
57.36% ( 0.54) | 21.45% ( -0.2) | 21.18% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 58.77% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( 0.5) | 39.27% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( 0.52) | 61.6% ( -0.53) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.49% ( 0.33) | 13.51% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.44% ( 0.66) | 40.56% ( -0.66) |
| NK Domzale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( -0.03) | 32.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.48% ( -0.03) | 68.51% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maribor | Draw | NK Domzale |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.49% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 21.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Celje | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Koper | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | NK Olimpija LjubljanaLjubljana | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Maribor | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | NK BravoBravo | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | NS Mura | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | NK DomzaleDomzale | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Aluminij | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Radomlje | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | Rogaska | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 8 |
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