Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
