Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 49.16%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.
