SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Genoa |
41.26% ( 1.01) | 28.19% ( 0.2) | 30.55% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 46.2% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.25% ( -1.05) | 59.75% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.95% ( -0.81) | 80.05% ( 0.81) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% ( 0.06) | 28.49% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.74% ( 0.08) | 64.26% ( -0.08) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( -1.45) | 35.39% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.85% ( -1.53) | 72.15% ( 1.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 77 |
| 2 | Genoa | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 70 |
| 3 | BariBari | 37 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 65 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 37 | 14 | 16 | 7 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Parma | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 57 |
| 7 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 49 |
| 8 | Palermo | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Pisa | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 10 | RegginaReggina | 37 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 47 |
| 11 | AscoliAscoli | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 37 | 10 | 16 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Modena | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 45 |
| 14 | Ternana | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Brescia | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 39 |
| 18 | Perugia | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 37 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 35 |
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