Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
