Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
