SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 49.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bari in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Sudtirol |
49.78% ( 0.02) | 27.57% | 22.64% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.41% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.22% ( -0) | 61.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.43% ( -0) | 81.57% ( 0.01) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.01) | 25.07% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.25% ( 0.01) | 59.75% ( -0) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.6% ( -0.02) | 43.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.38% ( -0.01) | 79.62% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bari | Draw | Sudtirol |
| 1-0 @ 15.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.69% 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.1% Total : 49.78% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1% Total : 22.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
| P | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
| R | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
| R | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
| R | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
| R | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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