Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 37.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
