Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
