MX23RW : Saturday, April 8 20:14:45
SM
Liverpool vs. Arsenal: 19 hrs 15 mins
Nov 28, 2021 at 5pm UK at Stadio Olimpico
Roma
1 - 0
Torino
Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zima (54')

We said: Roma 2-1 Torino

Roma could have stumbled into some form thanks to the good news story surrounding their win last week and a subsequent European success. While Torino are a match for anyone this season at their headquarters, they do not travel so well, so will be caught out by their hosts' superior forward department. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 14.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawTorino
65.28%20.5%14.22%
Both teams to score 47.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19%46.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93%69.07%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.46%13.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38%40.62%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.35%44.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34%80.66%
Score Analysis
    Roma 65.27%
    Torino 14.22%
    Draw 20.5%
RomaDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 8.06%
3-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 4.03%
4-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.62%
5-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 65.27%
1-1 @ 9.75%
0-0 @ 6.05%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 20.5%
0-1 @ 4.88%
1-2 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.06%
1-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 14.22%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli29242366214574
2Lazio28167544192555
3Roma29165839261353
4AC Milan29157748361252
5Inter Milan291631048331551
6Atalanta BCAtalanta29146947341348
7Juventus28185546222444
8Bologna29127103836243
9Fiorentina29118103432241
10Udinese2991283936339
11Torino29108113035-538
12SassuoloSassuolo29107123743-637
13Monza2998123441-735
14Empoli29711112536-1132
15Salernitana29611123349-1629
16Lecce2969142535-1027
17SpeziaSpezia29511132545-2026
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2957172443-1922
19Cremonese29210172654-2816
20Sampdoria2936201850-3215
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