SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Monza had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Parma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Parma.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Monza |
38.91% ( -0.03) | 25.25% ( 0.09) | 35.85% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.14% ( -0.42) | 46.86% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( -0.39) | 69.11% ( 0.39) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.2% ( -0.2) | 23.8% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.04% ( -0.29) | 57.96% ( 0.29) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( -0.23) | 25.46% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( -0.32) | 60.29% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.91% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.85% |
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