Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
