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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
SL

Juventus
3 - 0
Sassuolo

Vlahovic (15', 37'), Chiesa (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Erlic (42'), Marco Ferrari (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Frosinone
Thursday, January 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-1 Sassuolo

While Sassuolo have a track record of scoring goals on the road - and they certainly raise their game against Italy's big guns - Juventus are made of sterner stuff and will continue their win-streak. Victory can take them within touching distance of the Serie A summit - and revenge will also be a major motivation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawSassuolo
64.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 19.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 16.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)40.29% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)62.67% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)11.91% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.75% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)37.25% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.86% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)38.14% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.1% (-0.087 -0.09)74.9% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 64.05%
    Sassuolo 16.07%
    Draw 19.88%
JuventusDrawSassuolo
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.66% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.29% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.88% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 64.05%
1-1 @ 9.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.88%
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 16.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Frosinone
Thursday, January 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Juventus
Sunday, January 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 6-1 Salernitana
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Roma
Saturday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Juventus
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Fiorentina
Saturday, January 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Sassuolo
Wednesday, January 3 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Genoa
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Sassuolo
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Sassuolo
Monday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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