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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
GL

Inter Milan
2 - 1
Genoa

Asllani (30'), Sanchez (38' pen.)
Inzaghi (21'), Dumfries (22'), Martinez (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vasquez (54')
Frendrup (20'), Strootman (47'), Vasquez (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-0 Udinese
Saturday, February 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Genoa

In his 300th Serie A match as a manager, Simone Inzaghi should secure his 179th win: relentless Inter have momentum on their side, while Genoa are a lesser force away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.83%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 8.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15%) and 3-0 (10.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawGenoa
73.83% (-0.557 -0.56) 17.88% (0.389 0.39) 8.3% (0.1671 0.17)
Both teams to score 36.62% (-0.399 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.08% (-1.028 -1.03)50.92% (1.028 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.2% (-0.911 -0.91)72.79% (0.91000000000001 0.91)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.71% (-0.45 -0.45)12.29% (0.45 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.95% (-0.954 -0.95)38.05% (0.953 0.95)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.75% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)58.25% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.27% (-0.132 -0.13)89.73% (0.13 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 73.81%
    Genoa 8.3%
    Draw 17.88%
Inter MilanDrawGenoa
2-0 @ 15.73% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 15% (0.35 0.35)
3-0 @ 10.99% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.94% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-0 @ 5.76% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.42% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 73.81%
1-1 @ 8.11% (0.131 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.16% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 17.88%
0-1 @ 3.87% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 2.19% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.05% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 8.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Salernitana
Friday, February 16 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, February 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-0 Udinese
Saturday, February 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Genoa
Saturday, February 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-4 Atalanta
Sunday, February 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Genoa
Saturday, February 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, January 28 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Genoa
Sunday, January 21 at 5pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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