Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
