MX23RW : Wednesday, May 3 20:19:47
SM
Brighton vs. Man Utd: 22 hrs 40 mins
FL
Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
S
Fiorentina
4 - 0
Salernitana
Bonaventura (31'), Vlahovic (51', 84'), Maleh (90')
Milenkovic (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kastanos (20')

We said: Fiorentina 4-1 Salernitana

The contrasting combination of Fiorentina's relentless attack and Salernitana's inability to defend suggests only one outcome in the Tuscan capital, as the hosts should hit the net multiple times. Though old warrior Franck Ribery will be determined to shine again on the Florentine stage, his lesser-known teammates are finding the adaptation to life in the elite a little too hot to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
66.61%19.53%13.85%
Both teams to score 50.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.61%43.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21%65.79%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88%12.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.3%37.69%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.93%43.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.65%79.35%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 66.6%
    Salernitana 13.85%
    Draw 19.53%
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 11.62%
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 8.18%
3-1 @ 6.89%
4-0 @ 4.32%
4-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.9%
5-0 @ 1.82%
5-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 66.6%
1-1 @ 9.28%
0-0 @ 5.22%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 19.53%
0-1 @ 4.4%
1-2 @ 3.91%
0-2 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.16%
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 13.85%

Read more!
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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli32254368224679
2Juventus33196850282263
3Lazio32187750242661
4Atalanta BCAtalanta33177956391758
5Inter Milan321831154351957
6AC Milan32169752381457
7Roma32176944301457
8Fiorentina331210114539646
9Bologna32129114140145
10Torino33129123538-345
11Monza32128124043-344
12SassuoloSassuolo32127134047-743
13Udinese321012104240242
14Salernitana33714124154-1335
15Empoli32711142642-1632
16Lecce33710162840-1231
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3269172745-1827
18SpeziaSpezia33512162854-2627
19Cremonese32311182858-3020
20Sampdoria3338222059-3917
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