Fiorentina have not only scored the joint-most Serie A goals during the first 15 minutes this season (seven) but are also the only team yet to concede in the opening quarter-hour. The Viola could make another fast start against ailing Juventus - a club reviled by their fans following decades of one-way transfer dealings - but that might not prove enough to secure a much-needed win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Juventus has a probability of 34.52% and a draw has a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Juventus win is 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.81%).

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Juventus
38.5% ( 1.68)	26.97% ( -0.15)	34.52% ( -1.53)

Both teams to score 50.86% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.62% (

0.5)

54.37% (

-0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.24% (

0.41)

75.75% (

-0.41)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52% (

1.22)

27.48% (

-1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.03% (

1.55)

62.97% (

-1.55)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

-0.71)

29.87% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04% (

-0.86)

65.96% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 38.5%

Juventus 34.52%

Draw 26.97%

Fiorentina	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.5%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.52%