Fiorentina 2-3 Atalanta BC - Serie A - April 11, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Atalanta BC
15.91%	20.01%	64.07%

Both teams to score 53.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.77%

41.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.38%

63.62%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.09%

38.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.36%

75.64%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.82%

12.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.17%

37.82%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 15.91%

Atalanta BC 64.07%

Draw 20.01%

Fiorentina	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 4.47% 2-1 @ 4.45% 2-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.47% 3-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.91%	1-1 @ 9.42% 0-0 @ 4.74% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.01%	0-2 @ 10.5% 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 6.96% 0-4 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.28% 2-4 @ 1.73% 0-5 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.61% Total : 64.07%

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	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Napoli	30	24	3	3	66	21	45	75
2	Lazio	30	18	7	5	49	20	29	61
3	Roma	30	17	5	8	42	26	16	56
4	AC Milan	30	15	8	7	49	37	12	53
5	Inter Milan	30	16	3	11	48	34	14	51
6	Atalanta BC Atalanta	30	14	7	9	48	35	13	49
7	Juventus	30	18	5	7	47	25	22	44
8	Bologna	30	12	8	10	39	37	2	44
9	Fiorentina	30	11	9	10	35	33	2	42
10	Sassuolo Sassuolo	30	11	7	12	38	43	-5	40
11	Udinese	30	9	12	9	39	39	0	39
12	Torino	30	10	9	11	31	36	-5	39
13	Monza	30	10	8	12	35	41	-6	38
14	Empoli	30	7	11	12	25	37	-12	32
15	Salernitana	30	6	12	12	34	50	-16	30
16	Lecce	30	6	10	14	26	36	-10	28
17	Spezia Spezia	30	5	11	14	25	48	-23	26
18	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	30	5	8	17	24	43	-19	23
19	Cremonese	30	3	10	17	27	54	-27	19
20	Sampdoria	30	3	7	20	19	51	-32	16

Data Analysis

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