Cagliari 4-3 Parma - Serie A - April 17, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Parma
39.79%	25.99%	34.22%

Both teams to score 54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.65%

50.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.71%

72.29%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09%

24.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.47%

59.53%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91%

28.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25%

63.75%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 39.79%

Parma 34.22%

Draw 25.98%

Cagliari	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.79%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.22%

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	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	37	27	6	4	75	28	47	87
2	Lazio	37	21	8	8	58	30	28	71
3	Inter Milan	37	22	3	12	70	42	28	69
4	AC Milan	37	19	10	8	61	42	19	67
5	Atalanta BC Atalanta	37	18	7	12	61	46	15	61
6	Roma	37	17	9	11	48	37	11	60
7	Juventus	37	21	6	10	55	33	22	59
8	Torino	37	14	11	12	42	40	2	53
9	Fiorentina	37	14	11	12	50	42	8	53
10	Monza	37	14	10	13	46	47	-1	52
11	Bologna	37	13	12	12	50	47	3	51
12	Udinese	37	11	13	13	47	47	0	46
13	Sassuolo Sassuolo	37	12	9	16	46	58	-12	45
14	Empoli	37	10	13	14	37	47	-10	43
15	Salernitana	37	9	15	13	48	60	-12	42
16	Lecce	37	8	12	17	31	43	-12	36
17	Spezia Spezia	37	6	13	18	30	60	-30	31
18	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	37	7	10	20	30	56	-26	31
19	Cremonese	37	4	12	21	34	69	-35	24
R	Sampdoria	37	3	10	24	24	69	-45	19

Data Analysis

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