SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Villarreal II |
53% ( 0.2) | 25.77% ( -0.08) | 21.24% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.46% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.05% ( 0.16) | 56.95% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.14% ( 0.13) | 77.86% ( -0.13) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.44% ( 0.15) | 21.56% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.36% ( 0.23) | 54.64% ( -0.23) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.96% ( -0.04) | 42.04% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.53% ( -0.03) | 78.47% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Villarreal II |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 52.99% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 40 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 69 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 39 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 67 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 67 |
| 4 | EibarEibar | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 67 |
| 5 | Levante | 39 | 16 | 17 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 65 |
| 6 | Albacete | 40 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 63 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 58 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 56 |
| 9 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Burgos | 40 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 54 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 53 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 40 | 12 | 16 | 12 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 52 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 52 |
| 14 | Leganes | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 52 |
| 15 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 16 | Huesca | 40 | 10 | 19 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 49 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 40 | 11 | 16 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 49 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 49 |
| 19 | Malaga | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 40 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 39 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 29 |
| R | LugoLugo | 40 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 28 |
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