Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 35.17%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.95%) and 2-1 (6.77%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (13.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tenerife in this match.
