Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
