Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
