SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mirandes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Tenerife |
40.75% ( -0.11) | 28.46% ( -0.01) | 30.79% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.57% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.41% ( 0.08) | 60.59% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.31% ( 0.06) | 80.68% ( -0.06) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( -0.03) | 29.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.88% ( -0.03) | 65.11% ( 0.03) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% ( 0.14) | 35.66% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.57% ( 0.14) | 72.43% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Tenerife |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 30.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 53 |
| 2 | Levante | 28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 51 |
| 3 | EibarEibar | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Granada | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 47 |
| 6 | Albacete | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Burgos | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 40 |
| 9 | Leganes | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Huesca | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Villarreal II | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
| 13 | Real Oviedo | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 34 |
| 14 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 33 |
| 15 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 33 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 33 |
| 17 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 32 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 30 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 29 |
| 20 | Malaga | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 22 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 19 |
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