Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malaga win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Elche has a probability of 30.92% and a draw has a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest Elche win is 0-1 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.46%).
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0.03) 
