Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 42.36%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.79%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levante would win this match.
0.17) 
-0.25) 
