Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match.
