SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Andorra in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Andorra | Draw | Burgos |
43.39% ( 0.16) | 28.02% ( -0.06) | 28.6% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.19% ( 0.19) | 59.81% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.91% ( 0.14) | 80.09% ( -0.14) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.64% ( 0.18) | 27.36% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.18% ( 0.23) | 62.82% ( -0.23) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% ( 0.03) | 36.93% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.28% ( 0.03) | 73.72% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Andorra | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.6% |
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