SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 45.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.58%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Tenerife |
45.24% ( -0.11) | 30.06% ( 0.07) | 24.71% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 38.42% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.22% ( -0.17) | 67.78% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.21% ( -0.11) | 85.79% ( 0.12) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0.14) | 30.26% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.57% ( -0.17) | 66.43% ( 0.17) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.1% ( -0.07) | 44.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.14% ( -0.05) | 80.86% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Tenerife |
| 1-0 @ 16.24% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.23% Total : 45.24% | 0-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.08) 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.04% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leganes | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 37 |
| 3 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | EibarEibar | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | Levante | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
| 6 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Espanyol | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 34 |
| 8 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | ElcheElche | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 31 |
| 12 | Burgos | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 30 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
| 14 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 |
| 15 | Eldense | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
| 16 | Albacete | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 | Villarreal II | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 23 |
| 19 | Huesca | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 22 |
| 20 | AlcorconAlcorcon | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 21 |
| 21 | Amorebieta | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 16 |
| 22 | CartagenaCartagena | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 15 |
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