SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Albacete | Draw | Cartagena |
53.19% ( 0.13) | 26.78% ( -0.04) | 20.03% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 41.38% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.53% ( 0.03) | 61.46% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.66% ( 0.02) | 81.34% ( -0.02) |
| Albacete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( 0.07) | 23.38% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.64% ( 0.1) | 57.35% ( -0.1) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.01% ( -0.09) | 45.99% ( 0.09) |
