Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Rangers |
14.33% ( 1.57) | 20.52% ( 1.27) | 65.14% ( -2.83) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.32% ( -2.01) | 46.68% ( 2.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.06% ( -1.91) | 68.94% ( 1.91) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.59% ( 1.14) | 44.41% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.54% ( 0.91) | 80.46% ( -0.91) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.46% ( -1.43) | 13.54% ( 1.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.39% ( -2.92) | 40.61% ( 2.92) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Rangers |
1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.37% Total : 14.33% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.6) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.52% | 0-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 12.02% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 8.01% ( -0.64) 1-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 4.01% ( -0.56) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.6% ( -0.32) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.71% Total : 65.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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