SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
21.96% ( 0.01) | 24.74% ( 0) | 53.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.54% ( 0) | 52.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( 0.01) | 74.13% ( -0.01) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.26% ( 0.02) | 38.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.52% ( 0.01) | 75.48% ( -0.02) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( -0) | 19.64% ( 0) |
